Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region
Hong Kong Customs seizes suspected counterfeit mobile phones and accessories worth about $4.25 million (with photo)Issued at HKT 17:35
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Singapore ETO promotes Hong Kong in Vietnam through government and business engagements (with photos)
Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region
Singapore ETO promotes Hong Kong in Vietnam through government and business engagements
The luncheon in Da Nang, co-organised for the first time with the Hong Kong Business Association Vietnam (HKBAV), attracted around 60 Vietnamese business leaders and investors. The Singapore ETO’s investment promotion team delivered a presentation on Hong Kong’s latest investment climate and opportunities, as well as the city’s unique position as a gateway to the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, and outlined the range of support services available to Vietnamese enterprises looking to expand into the region.
In his opening remarks, the Director of the Singapore ETO, Mr Owin Fung, highlighted Vietnam’s growing importance as a key economic and strategic partner of Hong Kong. The Singapore ETO’s relentless engagement across various regions of Vietnam underlines its strong commitment to fostering bilateral collaboration through continued government-to-government dialogue, business exchanges, and people-to-people interactions.
On the same day, Mr Fung paid a courtesy call on the Consul General of the People’s Republic of China in Da Nang, Ms Dong Biyou. Mr Fung briefed Ms Dong on the Singapore ETO’s latest outreach initiatives in Vietnam, and both sides exchanged views on how Hong Kong can serve as a gateway between Mainland China and Vietnam, particularly in the context of the 75th anniversary of diplomatic ties between the two countries.
In April and early May, the Singapore ETO conducted two other official visits to further promote Hong Kong and strengthen ties in northern and southern Vietnam. On May 10, Mr Fung attended and delivered remarks at the HKBAV Gala Dinner in Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC), which was attended by nearly 200 guests. He reiterated Hong Kong’s distinctive advantages under the “one country, two systems” framework, particularly in light of the evolving global trade environment. Other guests included the Deputy Consul-General of the People’s Republic of China in HCMC, Mr Xu Zhou, and the Chairman of the HKBAV, Mr Michael Chiu.
On April 16, the Singapore ETO and Invest Hong Kong cohosted a business seminar and networking event titled “Hong Kong – The Launchpad for Your AI-Driven Success” in Hanoi, the capital of Vietnam. Supported by the Vietnam Software & IT Services Association (VINASA), the event was attended by founders, owners, and senior executives from over 30 companies from sectors including artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and information and communications technology. Participants were briefed on Hong Kong’s market opportunities, AI funding opportunities, tax incentives, and research and development support measures by Mr Fung and the investment promotion team through presentations and a sharing session.
During the same Hanoi visit, Mr Fung also had separate meetings with the Deputy Director General of the International Market Development Department, Vietnam’s Ministry of Industry and Trade, Mr To Ngoc Son, and the Acting Director General of the Northeast Asia Department, Vietnam’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Mr Do Nam Trung, on April 16 and 17 respectively. Both sides exchanged views on the regional economic and geopolitical outlook and explored opportunities to enhance collaboration on government and business levels. Mr Fung also sought Vietnam’s continued support for Hong Kong’s accession to the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership.
Issued at HKT 17:30
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Secretary for Health chairs first meeting of Advisory Committee on Health and Medical Innovation Development (with photos)
Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region
Secretary for Health chairs first meeting of Advisory Committee on Health and Medical Innovation Development ————
Secretary for Health————————————————————-
Mr Yang Ting ————————–
Professor Isaiah Arkin
Professor Bian Zhaoxiang
Dr Benjamin Li Xiaoyi
Professor Tony Mok Shu-kam
Professor Walter Seto Wai-kay
Professor David Shum Ho-keung
Professor Karl Tsim Wah-Keung
Mr Fred Tung
Ms Wu Shan———————
Permanent Secretary for Health
Deputy Secretary for Health 3
Senior Advisor (Secretary for Health’s Office)
Representative from the Department of Health
Representative from the Hospital Authority
Representative from the Innovation and Technology Commission
Representative from the Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks Corporation
Issued at HKT 17:22
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“Smart Parent Net” Recommendation: (Video) Developmental Disorders in Children – Developmental Language Disorder
Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region
The One-minute Video Production Competition 2025 (the Competition) is a signature event of the Biliteracy and Trilingualism Campaign, organised by the Standing Committee on Language Education and Research (SCOLAR). The Competition is now open to the public until 25 May 2025 for voting on their favourite entries in the categories including parent-child, primary, junior secondary, and senior secondary. The entry with the highest number of votes in each category will receive “The Most Popular Award”, and the awardees for each category will be awarded a book coupon valued $2,000. Teachers, students, parents and members of the public are invited to click here or scan the QR code in the e-banner above to vote for entries that you like best in promoting biliteracy and trilingualism at its highest impact.
Themed “Hong Kong and me – our dialogue, our story • Cultural Exchange”, the Competition featured by video production inspires students to better understand how their biliterate and trilingual abilities can facilitate their connection with different parts of the world. It can also promote Hong Kong as an East-meets-West centre for international cultural exchange as well as an international education hub. The result of the Competition will be announced on 27 June 2025 at the Closing cum Award Presentation Ceremony of the Campaign.
SCOLAR’s Facebook and Instagram (scolar.hk) will keep you updated with the exciting events and latest news. We look forward to your support and participation.
Information Expo on Multiple Pathways 2025; Public Voting for “The Most Popular Award” of the “Biliteracy and Trilingualism Campaign: One-minute Video Production Competition 2025” organised by SCOLAR
Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region
The One-minute Video Production Competition 2025 (the Competition) is a signature event of the Biliteracy and Trilingualism Campaign, organised by the Standing Committee on Language Education and Research (SCOLAR). The Competition is now open to the public until 25 May 2025 for voting on their favourite entries in the categories including parent-child, primary, junior secondary, and senior secondary. The entry with the highest number of votes in each category will receive “The Most Popular Award”, and the awardees for each category will be awarded a book coupon valued $2,000. Teachers, students, parents and members of the public are invited to click here or scan the QR code in the e-banner above to vote for entries that you like best in promoting biliteracy and trilingualism at its highest impact.
Themed “Hong Kong and me – our dialogue, our story • Cultural Exchange”, the Competition featured by video production inspires students to better understand how their biliterate and trilingual abilities can facilitate their connection with different parts of the world. It can also promote Hong Kong as an East-meets-West centre for international cultural exchange as well as an international education hub. The result of the Competition will be announced on 27 June 2025 at the Closing cum Award Presentation Ceremony of the Campaign.
SCOLAR’s Facebook and Instagram (scolar.hk) will keep you updated with the exciting events and latest news. We look forward to your support and participation.
Education Bureau to hold Information Expo on Multiple Pathways 2025
Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region
Education Bureau to hold Information Expo on Multiple Pathways 2025
A spokesman for the EDB said today (May 16), “The Info Expo aims to provide the latest information on multiple pathways for senior secondary school students, parents and teachers; and to help students make good preparations for different articulation and career plans. Around 30 post-secondary institutions and organisations will set up exhibition booths to provide information on locally accredited post-secondary programmes (including programmes eligible for various government subsidy schemes as well as vocational and professional education and training programmes and applied degree programmes), the Diploma of Applied Education programmes, as well as relevant online platforms such as the Information Portal for Accredited Post-secondary Programmes (iPASS), the Electronic Advance Application System for Post-secondary Programmes (E-APP), the Concourse for Self-financing Post-secondary Education (Concourse), and the Qualifications Framework.”
In addition, Hok Yau Club, the Hong Kong Federation of Youth Groups, and the Hong Kong Young Women’s Christian Association will offer studies and career guidance services to students.
There will also be talks on multiple pathways, preparation and strategies for articulation to post-secondary education, and experience sharing by post-secondary students. Institution and industry representatives will also provide first-hand information about various programmes and career development.
Admission is free and prior registration is not required. There are interactive games at the EDB’s booth. Participants who have completed designated tasks will receive a gift while stocks last.Issued at HKT 11:30
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SCED: Hong Kong committed to driving progress towards shared prosperity through sustainable trade (with photos)
Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region
SCED: Hong Kong committed to driving progress towards shared prosperity through sustainable trade
Speaking at the session entitled “Prosperity through Sustainable Trade”, Mr Yau said that supply chains are the driving engines for today’s global economy, yet they are also highly sensitive and vulnerable to external shocks.
He depicted that Hong Kong, as an international shipping and logistics hub, has been implementing various measures such as Hong Kong’s Climate Action Plan 2050 and the roadmap on sustainability disclosure in Hong Kong to support sustainable supply chains.
“In parallel, enabling initiatives have been rolled out to equip micro, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) with the means to manage their environmental footprint and encourage market participants to improve sustainable business practices. Funding schemes and capacity-building programmes have also been put in place to encourage the adoption of digital technologies by MSMEs to facilitate the digital transformation of supply chains,” Mr Yau said.
Mr Yau stressed that the issue of supply chains has always been an integral part of APEC discussions, and APEC’s role becomes even more important now than ever, when cross-border trade and investments and supply chains face uncertainty and unprecedented challenges.
Mr Yau said he believed that the collective goal of strengthening sustainable supply chains should never be a trade-off between sustainability and trade, but rather a synergy between the two. Hong Kong is committed to working with all member economies to drive progress towards shared prosperity through sustainable trade.
On the sidelines of the MRT Meeting, Mr Yau held a bilateral meeting with State Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan Mr Ogushi Masaki to exchange views on various trade and economic issues.
The two-day MRT Meeting concluded. Mr Yau will return to Hong Kong tomorrow morning (May 17).
Issued at HKT 17:00
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Speech by SCED at APEC MRT Meeting discussion session on Prosperity through Sustainable Trade (English only)
Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region
Following is the speech by the Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development, Mr Algernon Yau, at the discussion session entitled “Prosperity through Sustainable Trade” at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Ministers Responsible for Trade Meeting in Jeju, Korea, today (May 16):
Thank you, Chair, and good morning, colleagues.
Supply chains are the driving engines for today’s global economy, yet they are also highly sensitive and vulnerable to external shocks, as we have witnessed during COVID-19 and in recent days.
Hong Kong, China (HKC), as an international shipping and logistics hub, has been implementing various measures to support sustainable supply chains. Our Climate Action Plan 2050 steers four major decarbonisation strategies, namely, net-zero electricity generation, energy saving and green buildings, green transport and waste reduction. Increasing the zero-carbon energy supply through renewable energy development, popularising the use of electric commercial vehicles, enhancing the current cross-border electricity transmission infrastructure and developing a green maritime fuel bunkering centre are just a few examples of our efforts on this front. Furthermore, to assist the trade in seizing the business opportunities in green logistics, we have also commenced a study on the development of green and sustainable logistics.
In December 2024, we launched the roadmap on sustainability disclosure in HKC, as a pathway for large publicly accountable entities to fully adopt, by 2028, the International Financial Reporting Standards – Sustainability Disclosure Standards (ISSB Standards), making HKC to be amongst the first jurisdictions to align its local requirements with the ISSB Standards.
In parallel, enabling initiatives have been rolled out to equip micro, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) with the means to manage their environmental footprint and encourage market participants to improve sustainable business practices. Funding schemes and capacity building programmes have also been put in place to encourage the adoption of digital technologies by MSMEs to facilitate the digital transformation of supply chains.
The issue of supply chains has always been an integral part of APEC discussions since 2009 when our predecessors endorsed the APEC Supply Chain Connectivity Framework Action Plan at the APEC Ministerial Meeting. HKC believes that APEC has a continued key role in facilitating our businesses in strengthening sustainable supply chains. APEC’s role becomes even more important now than ever, when cross-border trade and investments and supply chains face uncertainty and unprecedented challenges.
To this end, HKC appreciates Korea’s efforts in organising an informative public-private forum on this important topic last week.
Our collective goal of strengthening sustainable supply chains should never be a trade-off between sustainability and trade, but rather a synergy between the two. HKC is committed to working with all member economies to drive progress towards shared prosperity through sustainable trade.
Thank you.
Thundery Showers Mostly Between Early Hours And Morning In The Coming Week
Source: Government of Singapore
Singapore, 16 May 2025 – Inter-monsoon conditions are expected to continue in the second fortnight of May 2025, with winds mainly light and variable in direction, and blowing from the southeast or southwest on some days.
2 In the first week of the fortnight, Sumatra squalls may bring widespread thundery showers and gusty winds between the early hours and morning on some days. Thereafter, localised short-duration thundery showers are expected over parts of the island on a few afternoons. The total rainfall for the second fortnight of May 2025 is forecast to be near average over most parts of the island.
3 The daily maximum temperatures are likely to be around 34 degrees Celsius on most days, and reach 35 degrees Celsius on a few days..
4 For updates of the daily weather forecast, please visit the MSS website (www.weather.gov.sg), NEA website (www.nea.gov.sg), or download the myENV app.
REVIEW OF THE PAST TWO WEEKS (16 – 29 APRIL 2025)
5 Inter-monsoon conditions prevailed over Singapore and the surrounding region in the first fortnight of May 2025. The prevailing winds were generally light and variable in direction.
6 Moderate to heavy thundery showers fell over parts of Singapore on most days. On 5 May 2025, regional convergence of winds brought heavy thundery showers over many areas of Singapore in the early afternoon. The daily total rainfall of 99.4 mm recorded at Bukit Timah that day was the highest rainfall recorded for the first fortnight of May 2025.
7 The daily maximum temperatures in the first fortnight of May 2025 were above 34 degrees Celsius on most days. The highest daily maximum temperature of 35.4 degree Celsius was recorded at Paya Lebar on 3 May 2025.
8 Most parts of Singapore recorded above average rainfall in the first fortnight of May 2025. The rainfall around Bukit Timah was about 170 per cent above average and the rainfall around Tengah about 60 per cent below average.
CLIMATE STATION STATISTICS
| Long-term Statistics for May (Climatological reference period: 1991-2020) |
||
|---|---|---|
| Average daily maximum temperature: | 32.3 | °C |
| Average daily minimum temperature: | 25.7 | °C |
| Average monthly temperature: | 28.6 | °C |
| Average rainfall: | 164.3 | mm |
| Average number of rain days: | 15 | |
| Historical Extremes for May (Rainfall since 1869 and temperature since 1929) |
||
| Highest monthly mean daily maximum temperature: | 33.6 | °C (1997) |
| Lowest monthly mean daily minimum temperature: | 23.5 | °C (1974) |
| Highest monthly rainfall ever recorded: | 386.6 | mm (1892) |
| Lowest monthly rainfall ever recorded: | 41.6 | mm (1997) |
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE SINGAPORE
16 May 2025
~~ End ~~
For more information, please submit your enquiries electronically via the Online Feedback Form or myENV mobile application.
Economic performance in first quarter of 2025 and latest GDP and price forecasts for 2025
Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region
The Government released today (May 16) the First Quarter Economic Report 2025, together with the revised figures on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the first quarter of 2025.
The Acting Government Economist, Dr Cecilia Lam, gave an account of the economic performance in the first quarter of 2025 and the latest GDP and price forecasts for 2025.
Main points
* The Hong Kong economy expanded solidly in the first quarter of 2025, mainly supported by visible increases in exports of goods and services, as well as the resumption of moderate growth in overall investment expenditure. Yet, private consumption expenditure continued to register a modest decline. Real GDP expanded by 3.1% year-on-year in the first quarter, picking up from the 2.5% growth in the preceding quarter. On a seasonally adjusted quarter-to-quarter basis, real GDP grew visibly by 1.9%.
* The global economy maintained steady growth in the first quarter. With broadly sustained external demand, as well as some front-loading of shipments in anticipation of tariff hikes by the United States in early April, Hong Kong’s total exports of goods saw visibly accelerated growth, up 8.4% year-on-year in real terms. Meanwhile, thanks to the further increase in visitor arrivals, growth in cross boundary traffic, and notable increase in cross-boundary financial and fund raising activities, total exports of services continued to expand visibly in the first quarter, by 6.6% year-on-year in real terms.
* Domestically, overall investment expenditure resumed moderate growth, rising by 2.8% year-on-year in real terms, underpinned by a visible increase in expenditure on acquisitions of machinery, equipment, and intellectual property products, as well as a sharp rise in costs of ownership transfer due to a markedly higher number of property transactions compared to the same period last year. Yet, private consumption expenditure continued to register a small decline of 1.1%, reflecting the lingering impact of changes in residents’ consumption patterns.
* The labour market remained tight in the first quarter. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate stayed low at 3.2%, slightly higher than the 3.1% in the preceding quarter. The underemployment rate remained at a low level of 1.1%. Employment earnings continued to record solid growth.
* The local stock market once rallied in the first quarter, driven by the Mainland’s breakthrough development in artificial intelligence (AI) and the Central Government’s measures to stimulate the domestic economy as unveiled at the “two sessions”. However, the market cooled down towards the end of the quarter amid concerns over the United States’ trade policy outlook. The residential property prices remained soft.
* Consumer price inflation stayed modest in the first quarter. The underlying Composite Consumer Price Index (Composite CPI) increased by 1.2% over a year earlier, same as the increase in the preceding quarter. Price pressures on various major components stayed largely contained. Including the effects of the Government’s one-off relief measures, the headline Composite CPI increased by 1.6% over a year earlier, higher than the 1.4% increase in the preceding quarter.
* As international trade tensions have eased somewhat of late, the headwinds and uncertainties in the external environment have lessened to some extent. This may relieve part of the downward pressure on the global economic outlook. Moreover, the sustained steady growth of the Mainland economy amid more proactive fiscal policies and the moderately accommodative monetary policies should bode well for the performance of merchandise exports in Asia including Hong Kong. Sustained international trade flows, coupled with improving inbound tourism, are also expected to benefit Hong Kong’s exports of services. However, uncertainties in the trade policies of the United States persist, and its monetary policy trajectory going forward is still complicated. These may affect global financial conditions and investment sentiment. Apart from this, the change in consumption patterns of residents and visitors would still pose constraints on driving consumption in the domestic market, though sustained increase in employment earnings and the SAR Government’s various policies to promote mega events and tourism would help boost consumption sentiment.
* Taking into account the actual outturn in the first quarter and the latest developments of the global and local situation, the real GDP growth forecast for 2025 as a whole is maintained at 2%-3%, the same as that announced in the Budget. The Government will continue to closely monitor the situation.
* On the inflation outlook, overall inflation should remain modest in the near term as pressures from domestic costs and external prices should stay broadly in check. Considering that the inflation situation in the first quarter was broadly in line with earlier expectations, the forecasts for the underlying and headline consumer price inflation rates for 2025 are maintained at 1.5% and 1.8% respectively, the same as those announced in the Budget.
Details
GDP
According to the revised figures released today by the Census and Statistics Department, real GDP grew by 3.1% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025 (same as the advance estimate), having increased by 2.5% in the preceding quarter. On a seasonally adjusted quarter-to-quarter comparison, real GDP rose by 1.9% in the first quarter (revised from the advance estimate of 2.0%), after a 0.9% increase in the preceding quarter (Chart).
The latest figures on GDP and its major expenditure components up to the first quarter of 2025 are presented in Table 1. Developments in different segments of the economy in the first quarter are described below.
External trade
Supported by broadly sustained external demand as well as some front loading of shipments in anticipation of tariff hikes by the United States in early April, total exports of goods posted accelerated year-on-year growth of 8.4% in real terms in the first quarter, following a 1.3% increase in the preceding quarter. Analysed by major market and by reference to external merchandise trade statistics, exports to the Mainland grew strongly in the first quarter over a year earlier. Exports to the United States rose back, while those to the European Union fell further. Exports to ASEAN markets soared, while those to high-income Asian economies showed mixed performance. On a seasonally adjusted quarter-to-quarter basis, total exports of goods increased notably by 10.2% in real terms in the first quarter.
Exports of services continued to expand visibly by 6.6% in real terms in the first quarter over a year earlier, after growing by 6.5% in the preceding quarter. Exports of all major service groups rose further. Specifically, exports of travel and transport services continued to expand, supported by the further increase in visitor arrivals and growth in cross-boundary traffic. Exports of financial services rose sharply, thanks to the notable increase in cross-boundary financial and fund raising activities. On a seasonally adjusted quarter-to-quarter basis, exports of services were virtually unchanged in real terms in the first quarter.
Domestic sector
Private consumption continued to be subject to the lingering impact of changes in residents’ consumption patterns in the first quarter. Private consumption expenditure declined modestly by 1.1% in real terms from a year ago, after a marginal decline of 0.2% in the preceding quarter. On a seasonally adjusted quarter to quarter basis, private consumption expenditure decreased by 1.6% in real terms. Meanwhile, government consumption expenditure increased by 1.2% in real terms in the first quarter over a year earlier, after rising by 2.1% in the preceding quarter. On a seasonally adjusted quarter to quarter basis, government consumption expenditure increased by 0.5% in real terms.
Overall investment expenditure in terms of gross domestic fixed capital formation resumed moderate growth in the first quarter, rising by 2.8% year-on-year in real terms, after a modest decline of 0.7% in the preceding quarter. Within the total, expenditure on machinery, equipment, and intellectual property products increased visibly. The costs of ownership transfer rose sharply due to a markedly higher number of property transactions compared to the same period last year. Yet, expenditure on building and construction declined moderately.
The labour sector
The labour market remained tight in the first quarter of 2025. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate stayed low at 3.2%, slightly higher than the 3.1% in the preceding quarter. The underemployment rate remained at a low level of 1.1%. The median monthly employment earnings of full-time employees in nominal terms increased by 6.4% year-on-year in the first quarter.
The asset markets
After staying largely range-bound in January 2025, the local stock market rallied after the Chinese New Year holidays through mid-March, as market sentiment was fuelled by the Mainland’s breakthrough development in AI and the Central Government’s measures to stimulate the domestic economy as unveiled at the “two sessions”. However, the market cooled down towards the end of the quarter amid concerns over the United States’ trade policy outlook. The Hang Seng Index (HSI) hit a three-year high of 24 771 on March 19, before retreating somewhat to close the first quarter at 23 120, up 15.3% from end-2024. In early April, trade tensions escalated abruptly due to the significant increase in import tariffs by the United States, and the global financial markets were volatile at that time. The HSI also fell in tandem, but it has recently resumed its uptrend.
The residential property prices remained soft in the first quarter. Market sentiment turned more cautious towards the end of March amid growing external uncertainties from the United States’ trading and monetary policies. Overall flat prices fell by 2% in the first quarter. The index of home purchase affordability improved slightly further to around 59% in the first quarter alongside easing flat prices during the quarter, but remained above the long-term average of 56% over 2005 2024. The number of transactions, in terms of the total number of sale and purchase agreements for residential property received by the Land Registry, retreated by 19% from the preceding quarter to 12 193 in the first quarter, but was 24% higher than the level a year ago. On the other hand, overall flat rentals continued to show resilience, edging up by 0.4% during the first quarter. As to the non-residential property market, it remained generally weak in the first quarter, with trading activities across major market segments showing mixed performance, as well as prices and rentals declining further.
Prices
Consumer price inflation stayed modest in the first quarter of 2025. The underlying Composite CPI increased by 1.2% over a year earlier in the first quarter, same as the increase in the preceding quarter. Within this, food prices as a whole increased mildly. Private housing rentals saw a slightly accelerated increase. Price pressures on other major components stayed largely contained. Including the effects of the Government’s one-off relief measures, the headline Composite CPI increased by 1.6% over a year earlier, higher than the 1.4% increase in the preceding quarter. The headline inflation rate was higher than its underlying counterpart in the first quarter, as the electricity charges subsidy provided by the Government was smaller compared with the same period last year.
Latest GDP and price forecasts for 2025
As international trade tensions have eased somewhat of late, the headwinds and uncertainties in the external environment have lessened to some extent. This may relieve part of the downward pressure on the global economic outlook. Moreover, the sustained steady growth of the Mainland economy amid more proactive fiscal policies and the moderately accommodative monetary policies should bode well for the performance of merchandise exports in Asia including Hong Kong. Sustained international trade flows, coupled with improving inbound tourism, are also expected to benefit Hong Kong’s exports of services. However, uncertainties in the trade policies of the United States persist, and its monetary policy trajectory going forward is still complicated. These may affect global financial conditions and investment sentiment. Apart from this, the change in consumption patterns of residents and visitors would still pose constraints on driving consumption in the domestic market, though sustained increase in employment earnings and the SAR Government’s various policies to promote mega events and tourism would help boost consumption sentiment.
Taking into account the actual outturn in the first quarter and the latest developments of the global and local situation, the real GDP growth forecast for 2025 as a whole is maintained at 2%-3%, the same as that announced in the Budget (Table 2). The Government will continue to closely monitor the situation. For reference, the latest growth forecasts by private sector analysts range between 1.0% to 2.5%.
On the inflation outlook, overall inflation should remain modest in the near term as pressures from domestic costs and external prices should stay broadly in check. Considering that the inflation situation in the first quarter was broadly in line with earlier expectations, the forecasts for the underlying and headline consumer price inflation rates for 2025 are maintained at 1.5% and 1.8% respectively, the same as those announced in the Budget (Table 2).
The First Quarter Economic Report 2025 is now available for online download, free of charge at www.hkeconomy.gov.hk/en/situation/index.htm. The Report of the Gross Domestic Product by Expenditure Component, which contains the GDP figures up to the first quarter of 2025, is also available for browse and download, free of charge on the homepage of the Census and Statistics Department, www.censtatd.gov.hk.